As we saw in yesterday’s reflection on Semifinal Game 7‘s the winners of these long series tend not to fare very well in the next round.
To rehash; of the 11 Eastern Conference team’s that have advanced to the Conference Finals, only 3 made the Stanley Cup (2 of those 3 series though, were played against other Semifinal teams that had also played 7 game series) and just 1 (1985/86 Montreal Canadiens) had gone on to win the Stanley Cup (ironically, as we will see, against a team from the Western Conference that had also played a 7 game Conference Semifinal series).
We next look to the Western Conference to determine if the team’s have fared as poorly as the Eastern Conference squads, after playing in a 7 game series.
1983/84: #2 North Stars vs. #6 Blues – North Stars won
(Lost Conference Finals to Oilers in 4)
1983/84: #1 Oilers vs. #3 Flames – Oilers won
(Beat North Stars in 4 to win Conference Finals and went on to win Stanley Cup vs. Islanders in 5)
1985/86: #5 Blues vs. #8 Maple Leafs – Blues won
(Lost Conference Finals to Flames in 7)
1985/86: #1 Oilers vs. #3 Flames – Flames won (Steve Smith’s most famous goal)
(Beat Blues in 7 to win Conference Finals and went on to lose Stanley Cup vs. Canadiens in 5)
1986/87: #5 Red Wings vs. #7 Maple Leafs – Red Wings won
(Lost Conference Finals to Oilers in 5)
1989/90: # 2 Blackhawks vs. #5 Blues – Blackhawks won
(Lost Conference Finals to Oilers in 6)
1992/93: #3 Maple Leafs vs. #4 Blues – Maple Leafs won
(Lost Conference Finals to Kings in 7)
1993/94: #3 Maple Leafs vs. #8 Sharks – Maple Leafs won
(Lost Conference Finals to Canucks in 5)
1995/96: #1 Red Wings vs. #5 Blues – Red Wings won (Stevie Y with a 50 footer to win it in OT)
(Lost Conference Finals to Avalanche in 6)
2000/01: #1 Avalanche vs. #7 Kings – Avalanche won
(Beat Blues in 5 to win Conference Finals and went on to win Stanley Cup vs. Devils in 7)
2001/02: #2 Avalanche vs. #3 Sharks – Avalanche won
(Lost Conference Finals to Red Wings in 7)
2002/03: #4 Canucks vs. #6 Wild – Wild won
(Lost Conference Finals to Mighty Ducks in 4)
The Western Conference had 12 teams emerge from a Conference Semifinal Game 7. Of those 12 teams, 9 lost in the Conference Finals. Interestingly, the West had a similar situation as that which occurred in the East where in 2 of these series (83/84 – Minnesota North Stars versus Edmonton Oilers and 85/86 – Calgary Flames versus Detroit Red Wings) both teams that played in the Conference Finals had themselves emerged from 7 game Semifinal series). The Oilers went on to win as they knocked off the declining Islanders and the Flames lost to a team from the East who had, coincidentally, also emerged from a 7 game Semifinal series. The only other team to win after playing 7 in the Conference Semifinals, were the 2000/01 Colorado Avalanche who went on to defeat the Devils in a 7 game Stanley Cup Classic.
Therefore we can see that since 1982 when the league adopted this format (East/West) of the combined 23 teams to emerge from a 7 game series, 6 teams have gone on to win the Conference Finals and only 3 have gone on to win the Stanley Cup.
So it would appear that if your team has managed to avoid the long 7 game series they stand a better chance to make the Stanley Cup Finals (and win) then those teams who have had to battle through 7 long, tough games at this point in the Playoffs. Guess this means, that with 3 Conference Semifinal Game 7’s, the Blackhawks who efficiently finished off Vancouver in 6, are looking like the team to pick. That is if you subscribe to the preeceding logic.
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