When the Capitals were down 3-1, IC’s Ari Baum-Cohen explained that Washington’s chances were not in line with the meager 8.7% of teams that have been able to comeback from a 3-1 series deficit.

Here was Ari’s Methodology:

Washington’s % Chance to win the series = 1/(odds win G5 * odds win G6 * odds win G7)

OR

1/(1.54*1.83*1.51)= 23.47%.

So, instead of tracking Washington’s chances at an arbitrary number, Ari calculated the Capitals’ chances of winning each game when determining their odds of a comeback.  As you can see, the team’s chances were far higher than 8.7%, as he had the Capitals at just under 25% to comeback in the series.

Well, now that the Capitals are tied 3-3 with the Rangers heading home to the Verizon Center for Game 7 tonight, Ari now has the Caps as having a 70.2% chance of making the next round.

Can the Rangers beat the odds?

AddThis Website Tools
curve

Recent Posts

Winnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck and Kyle Connor named to NHL First All-Star TeamWinnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck and Kyle Connor named to NHL First All-Star Team

Winnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck and Kyle Connor named to NHL First All-Star Team

The Michigan duo get recognized for their excellent seasons.

7 hours ago
NHL | Presenting Winnipeg Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck with his Vezina and Hart trophiesNHL | Presenting Winnipeg Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck with his Vezina and Hart trophies

NHL | Presenting Winnipeg Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck with his Vezina and Hart trophies

A nice surprise for the Jets top netminder after a day on the lake.

11 hours ago

NHL Tonight | Discussing Connor Hellebuyck winning the Vezina and Hart Trophy

Former NHL goalie Cory Schneider as well as former NHLers Mike Johnson and Mike Rupp…

12 hours ago

Winnipeg Jets Morning Papers

Keeping you up-to-date with all the latest pro hockey news in Manitoba.

15 hours ago