Comments on: Examining the Jets Playoff Hopes

By: buck919

buck919 — Fri, 09 Mar 2012 00:01:00 +0000

Great stuff. At the end of the day, you’re right, the Jets need to get to about 93 points to assure themselves a spot. Since the all-star game I’ve been saying to myself “win 2/3 every week and they’ll get in”. So far so good! Hope they can keep it going.

Keep up the great work Illegal Curve. I’ve been a listener back to your Kick days — you all do a fantastic job.

By: M Remis

M Remis — Thu, 08 Mar 2012 21:33:00 +0000

Right, I would agree with you, this is a pretty general analysis, and does not go into detail about specific opponents. It is a model that is focused strictly on the Jets, ignores other teams.and isn’t a representation of real life.

The point of the article is to show that the Jets need to score 21 points in 15 games to pretty much guarantee a playoff spot, which is at a rate that is above their performance this season.

The Jets have gone on a bit of a hot streak since the All-Star break, and if they want to make the playoffs they will have to step up their play from what they have shown so far.

Thanks for reading and I hope that clears things up.

By: buck919

buck919 — Thu, 08 Mar 2012 21:24:00 +0000

While this is a worthwhile analysis of the Jets chances of getting to the mark that’s likely to be needed to make the playoffs, the key element that’s missing is what the other teams need to do. Using points per game earned in the past isn’t helpful in that applying that same logic to the teams chasing the Jets would put them in the same position after 82 games that they are in now…2 to 5 points behind.

What’s also missing is the strength of each team’s schedule for the next month. Best example of this is Toronto’s ugly current week (Bos, @Pit, Phi).

What I think this article does prove is that the team(s) that plays beyond their historical level (the teams that get “hot”) over the next month will get the 2 spots being contested.