Division Betting Preview: Favorites, Darkhorses, and Value Plays

Posted by Ari in Columns,Frozen Assets on September 28, 2009 — 4 Comments

I have taken the best odds from sites offering NHL division betting odds. Please contact me privately if you would like to know which site is offering a specific bet. Sites offering division odds are: 5Dimes, Expekt, Gamebookers, Intertops, Ladbrokes, Sportingbet, Stan James, Unibet

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Team………………………………Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins…………..-125

Philadelphia Flyers……………+320

New Jersey Devils……………..+700

New York Rangers…………….+750

New York Islanders……………+6600

Ari’s take – Philly +320: While the Pens are the best team in the division, do they really have >55% to win this division? If they get solid goaltending the Flyers could emerge as the best team in the Conference – I would take them at +320 to win the division.

Northeast Division

Team………………………………Odds

Boston Bruins……………………-120

Montreal Canadiens……………+500

Ottawa Senators………………..+550

Buffalo Sabres…………………..+700

Toronto Maple Leafs…………..+1300

Ari’s take – Boston -120: How can the Leafs only be +1300? Boston is the class of this division and should win it handily. It will take a major success story from one of the other four teams to contend for the Northeast.

Southeast Division

Team………………………………Odds

Washington Capitals…………..-182

Carolina Hurricanes……………+350

Florida Panthers………………..+1100

Tampa Bay Lightning………….+1200

Atlanta Thrashers……………….+3300

Ari’s take – pass: It seems like Washington is a lock to win the division, but at -182 it’s not worth it. Carolina finished strongly last year and the Caps do have a question mark in net to start the season.

Western Conference

Central Division

Team………………………………Odds

Detroit Red Wings……………..+115

Chicago Blackhawks…………..+160

St. Louis Blues…………………..+1100

Columbus Blue Jackets………..+1700

Nashville Predators…………….+3000

Ari’s take – Detroit +115, Nashville +3000: Detroit was -667 to win the division last year. They are older and facing a much improved division, but at +115 I can’t pass it up. The Preds have a strong blue-line and an excellent goaltender. They will almost certainly lose the division, but at +3000 it’s worth a try.

Northwest Division

Team………………………………Odds

Calgary Flames………………….+155

Vancouver Canucks…………….+160

Edmonton Oilers………………..+550

Minnesota Wild…………………+1000

Colorado Avalanche……………+5000

Ari’s take – pass: I like Calgary to win the division, but not at +155. Maybe the Wild at +1000 offer value on the strength of their goaltending. I would (as I usually do) leave this division alone for betting purposes.

Pacific Division

Team………………………………Odds

San Jose Sharks…………………-154

Anaheim Ducks…………………+300

Dallas Stars………………………+1000

Los Angeles Kings………………+1000

Phoenix Coyotes…………………+6600

Ari’s take – San Jose -154: The Sharks were already heavy favorites before they added Heatley. Can’t see anyone else competing – maybe the Ducks but San Jose should be the favorites for the President’s trophy.

Good luck to all of you on your bets this year!

4 responses to “Division Betting Preview: Favorites, Darkhorses, and Value Plays”

  1. Bob Roberts says:

    Ari — any odds out on the Olympic hockey?

    If they give odds for “medaling” I’d put a loonie or two on the Finns and Norweigans.

  2. Bob Roberts says:

    Also, I’m going with a Pens vs Hawks final with the Pens taking it in six. Odds against that must be pretty high with the difficulty of repeating and the “wing Factor” and all.

  3. Bob – see my July 24th article “2010 Olympics: Early Odds”

    http://illegalcurve.com/2009/07/24/2010-olympics-early-odds/

    Norweigans? Pens vs. Hawks final – take the odds of the pens to win the east and multiply it by the odds of the hawks to win the west.

    Pit +300 (4.0), Chi +450 (5.5) … 4*5.5 = 22.0 or 21/1

  4. Bob Roberts says:

    Norweigans? Could I possibly have meant Swedes? What was I thinking? Anything? We don’t want no…

    So it’s 21 to 1 against it being Pens vs Hawks for the Cup? (Clearly I never did understand all those numbers and + and -. And now what’s this * mean? No, never mind, I’ll never get it.)

    Going to have the handicapping contest again?

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