# Numbers Game: The 3 Point Win

Posted by Adam in Numbers Game,Uncategorized on March 10, 2009 — 1 Comment

The NHL GMs are currently in Naples, Florida for the annual GM Meetings.  Besides playing a few rounds of golf, there are a number of issues being debated, including, fighting, headshots and moving to a 3-point point system.

The proposed 3 point system, which has talked about around the hockey world,  would see 3 points distibuted every game.  Instead of giving a team 2 points for a win, regardless of whethey they win in regulation or overtime, under the new system, teams that win the game in regulation will get 3 points.  If a game is tied after regulation, the points are split, with the winning team (either in overtime or shootout) receiving 2 points for the win and the losing team receiving 1 point.

The argument in favour of the change is that the standings based on the current point system create misleading impressions of a team’s performance.  As soon as a game goes into overtime, 3 points are given out, while only 2 points are awarded in games that end after regulation time. It is argued that awarding 3 points inflates teams’ records and obviously their conference rank.  A 3 point regulation win would reward teams that can win the game in regulation time and, arguably, create a more “accurate” picture in the standings.  But would it really?

In today’s Numbers Game, I looked at whether the proposed 3 point win would actually change the standings. Sure enough, the change was very minimal, but in a league where a 1 point difference could determine whether a team is playoff bound or whether they have home-ice advantage, any change is significant.

Under the proposed change, the New York Rangers would find themselves outside the playoff picture dropping to 10th, while the Hurricanes would move up 2 spots into 7th. The Capitals would move ahead of the Devils to sit 2nd in the East and would be facing the Canes if the playoffs started today.  The Panthers would move up to 5th in the East and would play the Flyers in the first round instead of Brodeur and the Devils. If I am Jim Rutherford or Jacques Martin, the 3 point system would certainly be a change I would support!

In the Western Conference, there would be no change in ranks among the top 5 teams. However, the Wild would jump up to 8th, while the Predators would slide out of a playoff spot into 9th. The Oilers would move into 6th, switching spots with the Blue Jackets, and would face the Flames in the first round.

The 3 point system would clearly have a significant impact on the standings.  There are certianly some strong arguments in favour of switching to that system. The question is whether the GMs will actually support such a “drastic” change.  You never know, who would have thought they would add the shootout to the NHL game?

 Eastern Rank Team GP W Reg. Wins OT Wins SO Wins L OT PTS New Point System New Conf. Rank Rank Change 1 Boston 67 43 37 2 4 15 9 95 132 1 0 2 New Jersey 65 42 29 8 5 20 3 87 116 3 -1 3 Washington 67 40 32 5 3 21 6 86 118 2 1 4 Philadelphia 64 35 26 6 3 19 10 80 106 4 0 5 Montreal 66 35 26 2 7 24 7 77 103 5 -1 6 Florida 66 34 27 4 3 24 8 76 103 5 1 7 NY Rangers 66 34 22 3 9 24 8 76 98 10 -3 8 Pittsburgh 67 35 24 6 5 26 6 76 100 8 0 9 Carolina 67 35 27 5 3 27 5 75 102 7 2 10 Buffalo 66 33 25 1 7 26 7 73 98 9 1 11 Toronto 66 26 19 3 4 27 13 65 84 11 0 12 Ottawa 64 25 21 2 2 29 10 60 81 12 0 13 Atlanta 66 25 19 2 4 35 6 56 75 13 0 14 Tampa Bay 66 21 18 1 2 32 13 55 73 14 0 15 NY Islanders 66 22 17 2 3 37 7 51 68 15 0 WESTERN Rank Team GP W Reg. Wins OT Wins SO Wins L OT PTS New Point System New Conf. Rank Rank Change 1 San Jose 64 42 36 3 3 12 10 94 130 1 0 2 Detroit 66 43 35 2 6 15 8 94 129 2 0 3 Calgary 66 39 34 3 2 21 6 84 118 3 0 4 Chicago 64 36 30 4 2 19 9 81 111 4 0 5 Vancouver 64 34 28 3 3 22 8 76 104 5 0 6 Columbus 66 33 25 4 4 27 6 72 97 7 -1 7 Edmonton 65 32 27 1 4 27 6 70 97 6 1 8 Nashville 66 33 24 5 4 29 4 70 94 9 -1 9 Dallas 66 31 23 3 5 27 8 70 93 11 -2 10 Minnesota 65 32 25 3 4 28 5 69 94 8 2 11 Anaheim 67 31 25 3 3 30 6 68 93 10 1 12 St. Louis 65 29 20 4 5 28 8 66 86 14 -2 13 Los Angeles 65 28 22 2 4 28 9 65 87 13 0 14 Phoenix 66 28 26 0 2 33 5 61 87 12 2 15 Colorado 66 29 19 2 8 36 1 59 78 15 0
• AaronB

Next time back to a 2 point system where loser gets no points regardless of OT or SO or regulation loss… Maybe a study of the 3 point system if it came in right after the lockout, does Edmonton even make the playoffs that year in a set 3 or 2 point system???