Numbers Game: Aggregate Rank – Goals For/Against

Posted by Adam in Numbers Game,Uncategorized on February 24, 2009 — No Comments

In last week’s Numbers Game, I compared each team’s combined power play and penalty kill ranks to their point totals.  For the analysis, I assigned each team an aggregate score which was the sum of their power play rank and penalty kill rank, with the idea being that teams that ranked higher in both categories would be more likely to win games.  The numbers indicated that teams that ranked higher in aggregate score tended to have more wins. However, the difference between the top ranked teams in aggregate score and those in the middle of the pack was not as significant as one would expect.

Continuing on that analysis, in today’s Numbers Game, I assigned each team an aggregate score based on their Goals For and Goals Against Rank.  For example, the Sharks are 2nd in the league in Goals For and 3rd in the league in Goals Against.  With an aggregate score of 5, the Sharks have the best aggregate score in the league and have the best overall record. 

Not surprisingly, aggregate scores for Goals For/Against are a much stronger indicator of overall team success.  Out of the Top 10 teams in the league, only the Rangers and Canadiens have aggregate scores that are not ranked among the Top 10. The average points rank for teams among the top 10 in aggregate score is 6.2. In comparison, the average points rank for teams ranked 11th – 20th and 21st -30th in aggregate scores, is 14.4 and 25.1, respectively.

 

Team

Points

Points Rank

G/G

G/G Rank

GA/G

GA/G Rank

Aggregate Score

Aggregate Rank

SJS

91

1

3.4

2

2.34

3

5

1

BOS

88

2

3.27

5

2.18

1

6

2

CHI

76

6

3.31

3

2.38

4

7

3

NJD

79

5

2.95

11

2.48

5

16

4

WSH

81

4

3.3

4

2.82

14

18

5

VAN

68

11

3.02

8

2.78

11

19

6

DET

86

3

3.7

1

2.92

19

20

7

BUF

68

11

2.87

13

2.75

9

22

8

PHI

71

8

3.26

6

2.88

17

23

9

FLA

68

11

2.76

17

2.59

6

23

9

CGY

76

6

3.14

7

2.9

18

25

11

MIN

64

17

2.53

25

2.31

2

27

12

CBJ

66

15

2.68

20

2.73

8

28

13

MTL

69

9

2.95

11

2.98

21

32

14

ANA

63

19

2.79

16

2.87

16

32

14

LAK

59

22

2.62

21

2.81

12

33

16

PIT

64

17

2.97

9

3.07

26

35

17

NYR

69

9

2.33

29

2.72

7

36

18

CAR

67

14

2.62

21

2.84

15

36

18

DAL

65

16

2.86

15

2.98

21

36

18

NSH

60

21

2.3

30

2.75

9

39

21

STL

58

24

2.71

19

2.93

20

39

21

TOR

56

26

2.97

9

3.53

30

39

21

OTT

53

27

2.45

27

2.81

12

39

21

EDM

63

19

2.73

18

3.02

23

41

25

ATL

48

29

2.87

13

3.5

29

42

26

PHX

59

22

2.57

24

3.03

24

48

27

COL

57

25

2.62

21

3.08

27

48

27

TBL

52

28

2.5

26

3.05

25

51

29

NYI

42

30

2.39

28

3.3

28

56

30